As human beings we have a unique ability to recognize patterns, even when confronted events that...
The US-backed regime in Afghanistan lasted 9 days from the taking of the first provincial capital...
Tetlock, the Taliban, and Taleb
Philip Tetlock has been arguing for awhile that experts are horrible at prediction, but that his...
The 8 Books, 2 Graphic Novels, and 1 Podcast Series I Finished in August
This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race by: Nicole Perlroth...
Eschatologist #8 If You're Worried About the Future, Religion is Playing on Easy Mode
In the ongoing discussion of dealing with an uncertain future I put forth the idea that believing...
Chemicals, Controversy, and the Precautionary Principle
When people consider the harms which might be caused by technology, they often point to the...
My hot take on the situation in Afghanistan. Highlights: -Why couldn't we have maintained a...
The 10 Books I Finished in July
Count Down: How Our Modern World Is Threatening Sperm Counts, Altering Male and Female...
Eschatologist #7 Might Technology = Extinction? - Audio
I discussed Fermi's Paradox in my last newsletter. In this I discuss the hint it provides that...
The 8 Books I Finished in June
Unsettled: What Climate Science Tells Us, What It Doesn’t, and Why It Matters by: Steven E....
Eschatologist #6: UFOs, Eschatology and Fermi's Paradox
The massive attention being paid to UFOs in the form of the Pentagon/Naval videos has rekindled...
1971 Continued - It's Energy Stupid!
In a continuation of the last episode I examine my favorite explanation for the inflection point...
Theories for the 1971 Inflection
The website wtfhappenedin1971.com presents a series of charts which show that there was...
The 10 Books I Finished in May - Capsule Reviews
My capsule reviews for the month: Persepolis Rising by: James S. E. Corey Project Hail Mary...
The 10 Books I Finished in May - Project Hail Mary Spoilers
And here is where I have cordoned off spoilers for Project Hail Mary. Listen at your own risk.
The 10 Books I Finished in May - Eschatological Reviews
This episode is in three parts. First is the eschatological reviews: A Thousand Brains: A New...
Eschatologist #5: A Trillion Here, a Trillion There, and Pretty Soon You're Talking Real Money
I've been talking about the knobs of society in my newsletters. Well one of the knobs we appear...
I recently encountered the term Wizards and Prophets as a way of describing those who were,...
Revisiting China: Inflection Points, Semiconductors and Fascism
Making any predictions about China is difficult, but that doesn't mean it's not important. It may...
The 9 Books I Finished in April (and something Extra!)
“Engineering the Apocalypse” Podcast Episode by Sam Harris and Rob Reid This Could Be Our...
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