FiveThirtyEight Politics

From Gas Prices To The Threat Of Nuclear Conflict … What Is Shaping The Midterms?

It’s October and the surprises are rolling in. OPEC+ announced it’s cutting oil production by 2...

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Do Scandals Like Herschel Walker's Still Matter To Voters?

The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate...

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What Would Two More Senators Do For Democrats?

The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators...

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There’s A 6-In-10 Chance One Party Will Control Both Chambers Of Congress

Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this...

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Why Biden's Unpopularity Doesn't Seem To Be Tanking Democrats

The crew discusses how Biden’s approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking...

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Is Social Media Turning Us Into Political Extremists?

Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media...

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Which Party Are Latino Voters Choosing In 2022?

The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of...

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It's Not Yet Time To Start Worrying About The Polls

In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent...

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Does The Monarchy Rely On Public Approval?

The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage....

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What To Expect Between Now And Election Day

Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up – summer...

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Why Sarah Palin Lost

Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on...

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Is Student Debt Relief Good Politics?

The crew discusses how President Biden’s executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student...

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If The Midterms Were Tomorrow, Republicans Might Be In Trouble

Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th...

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The Trump Investigations And What Americans Think About Them

What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and...

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What Liz Cheney Might Do Next

Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. The...

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Are Democrats Really Going To Win In Ohio And Wisconsin?

In recent weeks, Democrats’ odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have...

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Republican Outsiders Have Made Their Mark This Cycle

The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. They also discuss...

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Could The 'Inflation Reduction Act' Save Biden's Approval Rating?

The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how...

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Why Kansas Voted To Keep Its Right To Abortion

The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to...

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All The Political News You Missed Last Week

The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue...

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