FiveThirtyEight Politics

Why Biden Is Losing Support Among Voters Of Color

Among the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of...

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• 7 meses

Is Donald Trump The Inevitable GOP Nominee?

Now that we are on the other side of Labor Day and summer is subsiding, this is — as tradition...

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• 7 meses

Good Or Bad Use Of Polling: Extended Cut

This is a special end-of-meteorological-summer installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics...

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• 8 meses

Lessons From A Trump-Less Debate

The crew discusses their takeaways from the first Republican presidential primary debate in this...

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• 8 meses

What The GOP Primary Looks Like In The Early States

Game time for the Republican presidential primary begins in earnest this week. The first debate...

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• 8 meses

Three Georgia Law Professors Weigh In On Trump's Indictment

Former President Donald Trump has been indicted for a fourth time, now in Fulton County, Georgia,...

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• 8 meses

Who Is The Likeliest GOP VP Candidate?

Abortion rights advocates notched another win in a red state. Last Tuesday, Ohioans voted by a...

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• 8 meses

Ohio Voters Weigh In On Abortion (Indirectly)

Tuesday is Election Day in Ohio and it’s a bit of an unusual one. Ohioans are voting on whether...

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• 8 meses

Emergency Podcast: Trump Charged In Jan. 6 Investigation

Did former President Donald Trump conspire to defraud the United States, conspire to obstruct an...

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• 9 meses

July Was Hot As Hell. Do Voters Care?

Calculations from the World Meteorological Organization suggest that July was the hottest month...

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• 9 meses

Who'd Win A Trump-less GOP Primary?

It is widely believed that former President Donald Trump will be indicted for a third time in the...

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• 9 meses

Why A Third-Party Candidate Poses A Threat To Biden

Campaign finance figures from the second quarter of 2023 were released over the weekend. They...

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• 9 meses

What's So Special About 'Bidenomics'?

Love it or hate it, this is President Biden’s economy and he’s taking credit for it. In recent...

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• 9 meses

How The Supreme Court Will Shape The 2024 Election

The Supreme Court wrapped up its business for the term last week, closing out a docket that...

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• 10 meses

What's With RFK Jr.'s Double-Digit Polling?

It's the final week of June and that means that we are anxiously awaiting the decisions in...

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• 10 meses

Are Millennials Getting More Conservative?

There’s been a lot thrown at Republican voters over the past few weeks. The field of primary...

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• 10 meses

How Trump's Classified Documents Case Could End

Former President Donald Trump was arraigned on Tuesday at a federal courthouse in Miami in...

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• 10 meses

Emergency Podcast: Trump's Indictment, The Sequel

Former President Donald Trump was indicted on federal charges on Thursday related to classified...

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• 10 meses

The GOP Field Gets Crowded

By the end of this week, the number of major candidates running for the Republican presidential...

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• 10 meses

There's A Debt Ceiling Agreement ... For Now

In this installment of the podcast, the crew talks about what’s in the debt ceiling agreement,...

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• 11 meses