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Drivers and Scenarios of Transition to Democracy in China by 2030
  • 14/12/2015
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Drivers and Scenarios of Transition to Democracy in China by 2030

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Descripción de Drivers and Scenarios of Transition to Democracy in China by 2030

GMF Non-Resident Senior Fellow Minxin Pei, a professor of government and the director of the Keck Center for International and Strategic Studies at Claremont McKenna College, discusses his pioneering research on the likelihood and possible implications of a political change in China. Speaking with GMF Transatlantic Fellow Andrew Small following an off-the-record workshop at GMF, Pei suggests that by a number of different metrics China is at the point at which many other countries experienced political transitions. Pei explains why many senior scholars have shied away from this topic and how he has approached it, namely a clear analytical framework, a large volume of data, and a focus on comparative histories. He outlines three scenarios for a political transition in China and also engages with potential counter-arguments to his work.

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china transition democracy minxin pei

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